Tekirdag Derince Rail Ferry

Can Turkey Become A Railway Hub?

It is often heard that Turkey will become a freight railway hub with a significant transit traffic. There are many difficulties to be solved before this can occur.

First, let’s look at the map. Anatolia is almost like an island, bordered by sea except on the East side. East West transit is the main opportunity. North / South transit might exist for the Caucasus countries to reach the Mediterranean Sea. But it might make more sense for these countries to use a Black Sea port like Poti. The map indicates also that Turkey is not well placed to capture very long distance traffic between Europe and Far East.

East West routes go through Istanbul which is currently more like a dead end than a hub. Until a high capacity freight railway connection is built, bridge or tunnel, across the Bosphorus, traffic has to take a train ferry. These ferry is a huge bottleneck, adding cost and delay.

Now lets looks at connection to the East. Unfortunately Syria and Iraq are shattered by war at the moment. There is no traffic to expect from the old Bagdad bahn in the near future. The border to Armenia is also closed. All eyes are now on the new route to Georgia. Georgia and Azerbaijan will surely generate some traffic but it will be most likely to and from Turkey. Lets not forget the gauge change at the border which also adds some cost and delay. Perhaps there is a niche market for oil and chemical products that are best shipped from a Mediterranean port in order to avoid transit through Istanbul.

Finally, there is Iran which is perhaps the most promising opportunity at the moment. The embargo will be lifted soon and Turkey provides the shortest route between Iran and Europe. Unfortunately, this line is also hindered by another ferry across Van Lake. New ferries are being built but the overall transit capacity will remain small until a railway line around Van lake is built. Plans for this line exists but they have yet to be funded.

My humble opinion is that transit railway traffic in Turkey will remain small. International traffic will be to and from Turkey itself, but even this traffic requires a high capacity connection between the two sides of Istanbul.

by Jean Patrick Charrey, France ©
Photo: Onur Uysal

Related Articles:
Does Turkey Fall Back in Being Railway Hub?
Freight Railroad Services Has Potential in Turkey
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Competetion for Transit Loads on Rail

2 thoughts on “Can Turkey Become A Railway Hub?

  1. Lake Van rail bypass would have a high cost with low benefits. The whole railway line in the Murat valley would still need to be upgraded in order to boost this route.

    In the long run a new railway connection between Tabriz (or Jolfa) and Kars (as already planned) will be the best solution for a strong Iran-Turkey railway link. It could benefit from the planned upgrade of the Sivas-Kars line while it would enable also a rail access to Georgia and the Black Sea for Iran (and of course more freight transit for Turkey). On the other hand international passenger trains between Tehran/Tabriz and Ankara/Istanbul would be able to benefit from Ankara-Sivas HSR in order to decrease dramatically the overall travel times.

    1. Hi Johannes

      I fully agree: the goal is to provide a high capacity connection between Iran and Turkey, If that requires to go further north to gain time & cost then why not. Armenia is off limit at the moment. Nakhchivan is a hot bed as well. Also railway there are broad gauge.
      And what about the Doğubayazıt Ağrı corridor used by the Russian Army in 1914? This would require a line from Tabriz to Macu if one wants to avoid Nakhchivan.

      Jean-Patrick

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